Stef @scheplick
I watch markets, create content about them, and build top trading & investing tech with @merchantseven scheplick.com/latest-posts/ NYC 🏃♂️SF Joined January 2010-
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$TLT doesn’t care
PPI Red Hot: PPI 1.3% MoM, Exp. 0.6% PPI 6.3% YoY, Exp. 5.4% PPI Core 0.7% MoM, Exp. 0.3% PPI Core 5.0% YoY, Exp. 4.4%
One thing I’m consistently fascinated by is the how the pre-market “sea of red” / “blood bath” / “market sell-off” is still a recurring theme despite so many now having access to more and more 24 hour trading capabilities. It’s a recurring trope that has been working for 20+ years in the modern markets cycle. I’m surprised pre-market trading isn’t more unpredictable and doing new unseen trading action with the current market access people have. But instead same thing: futures red headlines force the gap down into the open repeat
@cdottrading @crosbyventures like the Bending Spoons model I know that I am still pretty unfamiliar with them And surprised to see Berkshire involved
Berkshire is making moves under the blanket of CoreWeave mania
One thing I’ve definitely learned is I had no idea this many people were “CoreWeave” experts
The only thing I’ll say about a company like CoreWeave is about as simple as this: My AI usage is truly bonkers no matter how much I try to slow down It just keeps ramping up Met a grandma the other day asking if I ever use “Chat PG-13”
If we get a market sell-off to the point where Anthropic has to IPO at a discount, it will be a remarkable turn of events for many of us. Maybe that day will come depending on today’s action. Let’s see - and I have never seen a company hit $16B in quarterly revenue faster than this.
Micron back below $900 - overnight trading will be remarkable
@TheRichFuller @velacharts Whoa - Rich very interesting going to DM you
This is one of those things you have to read if you’re an average index investor or a grizzled retail trader trying to beat the market: 1. You’re outperforming the so-called smartest guys in the room. 2. Even the best hedge funds in the world can round-trip their trades like a newb.
Lone Pine gave it all back after being up 44% through the first half of the year Gotta be real tough to explain this to the LPs
I find it interesting how the next great video game could effectively be a platform that gives you the ability to make the game, story, and setting you want rather than buying the fixed environment. If i was really bullish on the upcoming GTA, they would turn their game into a platform that allows people to make and mod their worlds.
Working on turning New York City into a playable GTA game obviously this is just rendered videos, but we’re getting so close that I could create this using Claude
The risk to Rockstar and GTA not doing this is AI platforms will make these games a commodity before they do
Once you have your third kid, your DGAF reading about certain things just sky rockets It’s actually pretty cool and i would highly recommend
I’d love to see the DCF’s on OpenAI or Anthropic back when rates were at 3.5% just last December versus now at 5.6% with richer perceived valuations. Every model is just destroyed at the moment
Update: The last two 30-year Treasury auctions averaged primary dealer take down of 4.5%, potentially the lowest two-month average since 2009 simply because institutional demand at current rates are outbidding them.
If you’re watching Treasury bond mania unfold the 1:00 pm est auction today is an alert to set. A few notes from me: - Treasury currently executing $119 billion multi-day debt issuance - $22 billion of that is a 30-year bond auction scheduled for today at 1:00 PM ET - This
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