Cook Political Report @CookPolitical
Non-partisan analysis feat. the trusted voices of @amyewalter, @redistrict, @jessicataylor, @ercovey & @charliecookDC. The right analysis for getting it right. cookpolitical.com/subscribe Washington, DC Joined September 2010-
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STARTING NOW: Tune in to watch @amyewalter, @Redistrict and Carrie Dann discuss the midterms, our latest polling projects and take your questions. Tune in on Substack (open.substack.com/live-stream/36…) or YouTube (youtube.com/@thecookpoliti…)
At 2 PM ET, join @amyewalter, @Redistrict and Carrie Dann as they go live to answer your questions about the midterms and our latest polling projects. Tune in on Substack (open.substack.com/live-stream/36…) or YouTube (youtube.com/@thecookpoliti…)
#AKGov moves again this week toward Democrats at @CookPolitical, from Lean R to Toss Up: cookpolitical.com/analysis/gover…
Last week, we shifted the four-way Alaska gubernatorial race to Lean Republican. This week we have gotten further evidence that the race's lone Democrat is opening up an advantage. This race moves from Lean R -> Toss Up. Read more from @JessicaTaylor: cookpolitical.com/analysis/gover…
🎯 TOMORROW at 2pm ET. Join @amyewalter, @Redistrict and Carrie Dann as they discuss our latest polling projects, their midterm outlook and answer your questions. 👉 Watch on Substack: open.substack.com/live-stream/36… 👉Watch on YouTube: youtube.com/@thecookpoliti…
Voters competitive CD’s polled for @CookPolitical see election not just as a referendum on Trump (who’s underwater by 16pts), but as a repudiation of the entire political system. Indies prefer candidate who will “reform entire system” vs serve as a “check on Trump”by 39pts.
New poll of 37 most competitive CDs (ie, races that will decide control of Congress) for @CookPolitical by NewRiver Strategies & GS Strategy Group. These CDs, on average, voted for Trump by 5pts - now prefer a generic Dem by 2 pts. (7 point swing to Dems since ‘24). Shows obvious pathway to majority for D’s, as well as a ceiling (universe remains the 25 or so R-held seats that voted Trump by 10 pts or less). But, to me, the most interesting finding was that these voters see this election not just as a referendum on Trump (who’s underwater by 16pts), but as a repudiation of the entire political system. Among indies, just 20% prefer a candidate to be a check on Trump - 59% want a candidate who will change system overall. This also suggests that these voters would want a Dem-led Congress that focuses more on an agenda that tackles corruption + institutional rot than one that focuses solely on Trump & his overreach. cookpolitical.com/analysis/surve…
NEW @CookPolitical: our battleground district poll shows a seven point swing to Democrats in the most competitive House races vs. 2024, putting them in excellent position to win the House majority. Full analysis by @amyewalter and Carrie Dann: cookpolitical.com/analysis/surve…
View the Battleground District Project: September 2026 Toplines and Crosstabs here: cookpolitical.com/survey-researc…
A new Battleground District Project poll of the most competitive House districts in the country finds Democrats in a strong position to flip control of the chamber this fall. Read the full analysis of our new poll from @amyewalter and Carrie Dann: cookpolitical.com/analysis/surve…
The 120th Congress is on track to have one of the largest freshman classes of the past decade. @ercovey looks at what the incoming members reveal about how both parties have evolved over the past two years. cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
Despite headwinds against Republicans, there is one Senate race that some in both parties privately concede may be a sleeper offensive opening for the GOP: New Hampshire. We move this contest from Lean D -> Toss Up. Read @JessicaTaylor's analysis. cookpolitical.com/analysis/senat…
👏 Listen on Apple: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/his… 👏 Listen on Substack: thecookpoliticalreport.substack.com/p/hispanics-in…
🎧 Hispanics in Texas Swung Hard Toward Trump in 2024. They Are Abandoning Him in 2026. Listen to our latest Editors Roundtable pod with @amyewalter, @ercovey and Carrie Dann.
👋 It's the last day to buy your Election Pass! Don't miss out on The Cook Political Report's midterm analysis. Learn more here: cookpolitical.com/subscribe
When it comes to the sizable Hispanic voting population in Texas, the news is grim for Republican nominee Ken Paxton. Read Carrie Dann on what we learned from our new Cook Political Report and TelevisaUnivision poll: cookpolitical.com/analysis/senat…
After the U.S. Supreme Court rejected an appeal from Missouri Republicans to use a new congressional map in November, we changed two House ratings. 👉 MO-05: Solid Republican -> Solid Democrat 👉 MO-02: Solid Republican -> Likely Republican cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
The Cook Political Report moved two governor's ratings this week. ->Alaska governor: Likely Republican to Lean Republican ->Oregon governor: Likely Democrat to Lean Democrat Read why from @JessicaTaylor: cookpolitical.com/analysis/gover…
After the U.S. Supreme Court rejected an appeal from Missouri Republicans to use a new congressional map in November, we are changing two House ratings. 👉 MO-05: Solid Republican -> Solid Democrat 👉 MO-02: Solid Republican -> Likely Republican cookpolitical.com/analysis/house…
Dave Wasserman @Redistrict
610K Followers 1K Following Senior Editor & Elections Analyst of the nonpartisan @CookPolitical Report w/ @AmyEWalter. Nerd for 🗺️ maps, ⛷️ ski slopes & 🎻 trad tunes. Has seen enough.
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