$BTC ETFs saw another solid +$190.7M in inflows (led by IBIT +$162.6M), while $ETH ETFs added +$66.1M (driven by ETHA +$26.8M, FETH +$21.5M, and ETH +$17.8M).
This extends a powerful multi-day streak of consecutive positive flows, with #Bitcoin alone pulling in over +$2.68B across the recent run! 📈
$BTC ETFs saw another strong inflows of +$714.7M (led by IBIT +$350.3M, FBTC +$257.4M, and MSBT +$99.0M), while $ETH ETFs posted +$162.2M inflows, driven mainly by ETHA (+$88.1M), FETH (+$33.6M), and ETH (+$27.3M) 🟢
GM. $BTC is holding around $84.5K after recovering from the dip near $84K, but the underlying flows are still weak.
OI has eased to $21.6B, while perp CVD has deteriorated further to -$4.44B and spot CVD sits around -$605M. So despite price stabilising, there’s still a meaningful amount of selling pressure underneath the move.
The options setup remains reactive with gamma short and amplifying, while charm is still net long.
Bitcoin is now sitting just above the $83.8K HVL, with $82K put support and $95K call resistance. Today’s ~$18.6B OPEX is the big positioning event, with $79K max pain.
The current key level I’d pay attention to is $84K. Holding it keeps the recovery intact, while losing it could quickly bring $82K back into focus.
$BTC has pulled back sharply from the $86K area and is now trading around $83.7K, with the move lower becoming more aggressive as price lost $84K.
OI has eased to $21.5B, but perp CVD has deteriorated to -$3.82B while spot CVD sits around -$412M, showing that selling pressure
Good morning macro 🌤️
The selloff has eased a bit, with $NQ recovering from around 30,370 to 30,700 and $ES bouncing from 7,707 to around 7,750. Both are still well below their recent highs, but buyers have stepped back in after the sharper pullback.
$CL made the biggest move, bouncing from $88.70 to nearly $97 before giving back some of the rally as the broader Middle East uncertainty kept oil elevated, although reports of potential US-Iran talks helped stocks recover from their lows.
$Gold remains weak around $4,300, with higher oil and Treasury yields continuing to pressure the metal.
The momentum has finally started to cool after the recent run 👀
$NQ rejected from a fresh high around 31,100 and has pulled back toward 30,600, while $ES has fallen from near 7,900 to around 7,750.
$CL also reversed sharply after recovering from the $88.70 area, reaching
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$BTC has pulled back sharply from the $86K area and is now trading around $83.7K, with the move lower becoming more aggressive as price lost $84K.
OI has eased to $21.5B, but perp CVD has deteriorated to -$3.82B while spot CVD sits around -$412M, showing that selling pressure has picked up across both derivatives and spot.
The options setup has also become more fragile, with gamma back to short and amplifying, while charm remains net long.
The current key levels I’d pay attention to are $84K on the upside and $82K below, with the $81.5K HVL sitting just underneath. Today’s ~$18.6B OPEX and $78K max pain add another layer to the positioning, but for now Bitcoin needs to reclaim $84K to stabilise the structure, imo.
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GM.
$BTC is consolidating around $86.6K, with the latest move looking more like a cooldown than a breakdown.
The setup has become more supportive from the options side, with gamma long and dampening and charm still net long.
Bitcoin is sitting almost exactly around this week’s
The momentum has finally started to cool after the recent run 👀
$NQ rejected from a fresh high around 31,100 and has pulled back toward 30,600, while $ES has fallen from near 7,900 to around 7,750.
$CL also reversed sharply after recovering from the $88.70 area, reaching nearly $94 before pulling back. Oil jumped almost 4% Wednesday as Middle East tensions pushed yields higher, with the 10-year Treasury reaching its highest level since 2007.
$Gold remains under pressure around $4,325 after briefly dipping near $4,300.
After several days of equities grinding higher, we’re finally seeing some real profit-taking across the board.
Equities are pushing higher again, with $NQ breaking above 31,000 and tagging a fresh chart high near 31,070, while $ES is consolidating around 7,835 after its strong run.
$CL has slipped below $90, extending its pullback as improving Middle East supply prospects ease some of
$BTC ETFs saw another strong inflows of +$714.7M (led by IBIT +$350.3M, FBTC +$257.4M, and MSBT +$99.0M), while $ETH ETFs posted +$162.2M inflows, driven mainly by ETHA (+$88.1M), FETH (+$33.6M), and ETH (+$27.3M) 🟢
$BTC ETFs saw massive inflows of +$999.0M (led by IBIT +$381.4M, ARKB +$289.1M, and FBTC +$238.8M), while $ETH ETFs posted strong +$270.0M inflows, driven mainly by ETHA (+$110.1M), FETH (+$73.0M), and ETH (+$59.3M) 📈
Equities are pushing higher again, with $NQ breaking above 31,000 and tagging a fresh chart high near 31,070, while $ES is consolidating around 7,835 after its strong run.
$CL has slipped below $90, extending its pullback as improving Middle East supply prospects ease some of the pressure on crude. Meanwhile, $Gold has bounced back toward $4,400 after recovering from yesterday’s lows.
Let's see whether NQ and ES can hold these fresh highs as the week progresses.
Good morning macro 🌤️
Equities are extending the rally, with $NQ pushing above 30,800 and $ES climbing toward 7,850. Both are trading near session highs, with buyers continuing to step in on pullbacks.
Oil remains under pressure, with $CL sliding toward $91 after failing to
GM.
$BTC is consolidating around $86.6K, with the latest move looking more like a cooldown than a breakdown.
The setup has become more supportive from the options side, with gamma long and dampening and charm still net long.
Bitcoin is sitting almost exactly around this week’s $86.5K max pain, with $82K put support and $95K call resistance. The current key level I’d pay attention to is therefore $86.5K. Holding above it keeps the breakout structure intact, while losing it could bring $85K and then the $83.9K HVL back into focus.
$BTC has extended the breakout and is now trading around $86K, up sharply from the $81K area at the start of the week!
The options setup has shifted, with gamma now balanced and charm remaining net long, which should make the structure less reactive than the short-gamma setup we
$BTC ETFs saw massive inflows of +$999.0M (led by IBIT +$381.4M, ARKB +$289.1M, and FBTC +$238.8M), while $ETH ETFs posted strong +$270.0M inflows, driven mainly by ETHA (+$110.1M), FETH (+$73.0M), and ETH (+$59.3M) 📈
$BTC ETFs saw massive inflows of +$433.0M (led by FBTC +$310.7M and IBIT +$100.4M), while $ETH ETFs posted solid +$143.7M inflows, driven mainly by ETHA (+$114.3M) and FETH (+$26.2M) 📈
After yesterday’s strong rally, $SPY is now sitting almost directly on its HVL around 772, with spot near 774. The broader backdrop remains supportive, with falling oil and Treasury yields helping risk appetite.
The interesting part is that the positioning around current price is still short gamma/amplifying, while charm is net long.
There is a lot of negative gamma stacked around 773-775, so today’s expiry could make moves around this area fairly reactive rather than simply pinning price.
Currently, 765 is the key downside level, while 800 is the larger upside resistance.
$SPY is starting to look a little more contained after the holiday break, with price around 764 and the options structure clustering fairly tightly around current levels.
The interesting part is that gamma has flipped to long/dampening, so there is some potential for moves to
$BTC has extended the breakout and is now trading around $86K, up sharply from the $81K area at the start of the week!
The options setup has shifted, with gamma now balanced and charm remaining net long, which should make the structure less reactive than the short-gamma setup we saw over the weekend.
$86K is now the key level, sitting right at put support and just above the ~$85.9K HVL, while the front-expiry max pain is around $85K. Holding $86K would keep the breakout intact, with $88K the next area overhead, while a loss of $85K would start to put the move back into question, imo.
GM.
$BTC opens the new week around $81.5K, holding firmly above the $81K area after last week’s sharp move higher.
OI remains elevated at $21.9B, but perp CVD has flipped positive to +$789M and spot CVD is now +$147M, giving the move much better confirmation than we had over
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