Not Another Quant @notanotherquant
Paul | Bitcoin, Crypto & Equities | Macro | Charts & On-Chain | NFA | 🇨🇦 Ontario, Canada Joined November 2025-
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Jobless claims don't show any sign that the unemployment rate will go up in Friday's jobs report. Layoffs are still low with claims at 197K this week and the four week average down to 200K from 234K a year ago. The JOLTS data on Tuesday showed the same thing. Continuing claims tell you more because they show what is happening to people who have already lost their jobs. A year ago 1.92M people were collecting unemployment benefits and now it is down to 1.70M which is the lowest in a year. When companies aren't hiring much the people who do get laid off usually take longer to find work. If that was becoming a bigger problem you would expect that number to be going up but it has kept going down. Friday's unemployment rate is based on the week of September 6 to 12. During that week 59K fewer people were collecting unemployment benefits than during the August survey week. So the claims data doesn't show any sign of unemployment moving higher.
@MWi_EW Can you delete this 😂
@fammetaX Are we going to Pluto?
@akmetax Big green October vibes 🚀
@TradingWithGuy Do you have a Time Machine sir
@HunterAllen4 Buddy you are firing them out today lol
@HunterAllen4 One of your favs 😁
@cryptoforcanada 🤔🤔🤔 Let’s ask Peter Schiff 😁
bitcoin:native closed September above the 10 month MA for the second month in a row and had its highest monthly close of the year. It also closed above the May high which is right around what the average US spot Bitcoin ETF holder paid. The ETFs had net inflows in both August and September. With the average holder now back in profit and expectations shifting toward higher prices there is less reason for ETF holders to sell just to get back to even. Q3 was the first green quarter after three red ones. Bitcoin has only had three or more red quarters in a row twice before. The first was 2014 into 2015 and the second was 2022. Both times the bear market low came in the last red quarter. Bitcoin never traded below that low again after the green quarter that followed.
@JUST_KAWS Let’s have a great month sir
@theaveragegal__ Did we get another taco party
@Brownkingsage1 It’s becoming more and more clear 😎
@TheBTCKnight I’m excited. So far we are holding up well.
@StokPix What a business to be in ahah
$MU says customers have already agreed to buy more than 75% of the memory it will ship between September 2026 and September 2027. Micron is already talking with them about 2028. The first supply deals Micron signed were based on the market from earlier this year. The newer deals are based on today's market where prices are higher. This quarter Micron expects sales to go up 13% while the amount of memory it ships goes up less than 10%. So on average it is getting paid more for the same amount of memory.
@TheFoxView Hope people have their bags!
@TheFoxView Think many are sidelined. Thing is this is still a good range to get some kind of position. DCA also helps especially when we broke below the 50 week. Buying the entire way down with some lump sums just makes thing easier imo.
@Stealthct_Storm I want more 😁
@HunterAllen4 Keep the grind going bud 😎
@LazaroInvestor Now have to buckle up for the price action 😁
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