Simon Collins | iGaming @getminted
Co-founded Cashcade (£96m exit) and Gaming Realms. Executive Chairman, Jogo Global. Building in iGaming, AI and prediction markets. London. simoncollins.co.uk London, UK Joined November 2008-
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@thetimes Brum - real people no bullshit ;) not that I am biased also amazing shopping at the Bullring
@jranoyes Interesting use of the em dash in this post ironic really
@developedbyed Trump green lantern
@AFCJaccy Because it looked epic - apprently the shorts were a clash too
@JustLingonberry @thomasdatrain96 They don't take gambling - so go check what else is around
Kalshi’s weather markets are pacing towards $1.1bn in annualised volume after growing 500% year on year. That sounds bigger than it is. Weather is still a small part of a sports-dominated exchange, and $1.1bn is a run-rate, not a settled 12-month total. But strategically, this matters. Weather is Kalshi’s first non-sports vertical with a credible route from retail speculation to commercial risk transfer. Daily temperature and precipitation contracts are simple enough for consumers to trade, while the underlying risk is familiar to energy, agriculture, logistics, insurance and retail businesses. The real test is whether weather becomes useful hedging infrastructure, or remains a small trading category riding Kalshi’s sports liquidity.
Prediction markets have spent years arguing they are not sportsbooks with better lawyers. The Ninth Circuit has now called Kalshi’s sports contracts what they look like: bets. Judge Ryan Nelson reached for Romeo and Juliet to make the point. A rose by any other name is still a rose. A sports bet labelled an “event contract” is still gambling. The Third Circuit says these products are federally regulated swaps. The Ninth says they are sports bets subject to state gambling laws. Same products. Same federal statute. Opposite result. That is a Supreme Court problem. This is not just a legal argument. It determines whether one federally designated market can offer sports betting nationwide without state licences, gaming taxes or geographic restrictions. If Kalshi wins, America has created a federal back door into sports betting. If the states win, sports prediction markets will have to operate like sportsbooks. The CFTC was built to police derivatives, not become America’s national gambling regulator. The Supreme Court may now have to decide whether Congress quietly gave it that job.
@ElevenLabsDevs outside of codex voice sucks especially in the car which is the spot i need it most
@HNilsonne @Neko Epic news so glad my daughter has the chance to work with your team in London keep it all going !
@ClearStake If you're in compliance, fraud prevention, or building fintech products: spend time understanding how fraud tactics evolve. Then talk to @ClearStake. They're worth your attention.
@clearstake This is the pattern I look for in fintech: a team that sees a real problem getting worse, builds a specific tool, and doesn't get distracted by hype cycles. Martin Burt and his team understand the pain. They're solving it methodically.
Fraud never stands still. That's the insight that led me to back @ClearStake. Here's why I think they're building something important in fintech compliance. A thread.
@bmontxna What about UK music festivals. Tents are a must for those. And u get to enjoy music in the fields.
The AI policy maths from the UK: Scaling laws move fast. Westminster doesn’t. Real risks: cyber, bioweapons, self-improving systems. Proposed answers: third-party audits, government blocks on unsafe models, displacement taxes, democratic supply chain coalitions. My honest read: the acceleration bits will happen because money wants them to. The protection bits (liberties, global coordination, blocking unsafe models) probably won’t. Plan accordingly.
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