Matteo Muscat @MatteMuscat
External Marketing, Sales and Operations Consultant of Bilbel Capital. Like/ RT ≠ endorsement. Tweets not Financial/investment advice. Views are my own. bilbelcapital.com Delaware, USA Joined April 2017-
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One of the best decisions I have ever made: sending this message. Looking back at this message reminds me how much can come from reaching out and making the effort to stay in touch. Relationships grow through small, consistent actions such as checking in, remembering what matters to someone, following through, and offering support when needed. Taking an interest in each other’s goals creates opportunities to help each other succeed. In turn, this creates lasting win-win relationships based on trust, mutual effort, and wanting things to work out for both people. What makes it even more meaningful is when those connections grow into friendships that extend beyond business. Grateful I sent that message. Make time for people. Keep in contact. You never know how much a simple conversation might come to mean. If you know, you know.
Seconded. @sammutgabi is younger than me but I am proud and honored to have him as my mentor.
What if a firm with a 92% CAGR since 2022, doing what a young Buffett did to compound at 50%, repeatable process evidenced by philosophy and case studies, fishing where the fish are shown by base rates described below. Not gigantic AUM creating a long runway before size hinders
@bilbelcapital targets deeply undervalued companies globally, seeking opportunities where perceived risk appears significantly greater than underlying fundamental risk. The strategy focuses on: • Valuation and downside protection • Management quality and capital allocation • A selective, concentrated portfolio • A long-term business-owner mindset Capital is concentrated where the gap between price and intrinsic value is considered particularly compelling. Since inception in 2022, the strategy has generated a 1,748.3% gross return, until latest investor letter. Verified accredited investors interested in learning more: DM me to arrange a call. 🌐 bilbelcapital.com #BilbelCapital #ValueInvesting #CapitalAllocation
What if a firm with a 92% CAGR since 2022, doing what a young Buffett did to compound at 50%, repeatable process evidenced by philosophy and case studies, fishing where the fish are shown by base rates described below. Not gigantic AUM creating a long runway before size hinders
In case you missed it @bilbelcapital Podcast Episode 6, released 22 September: Concentration, Position Sizing & Emotional Discipline. Watch here: youtu.be/-J9z_feT3mc?is… Investment inquiries: 📩 info@bilbelcapital.com 🌐 bilbelcapital.com #BilbelCapital #ValueInvesting
Good post
Tweedy, Browne looked at 1,000’s of stocks. Tracked over many, many years. After over 100,000 stocks, they found out that most top stocks shared at least one of these traits: -Low price compared to earnings. -Low price compared to book value. -Low price relative to cash flow.
What if a firm with a 92% CAGR since 2022, doing what a young Buffett did to compound at 50%, repeatable process evidenced by philosophy and case studies, fishing where the fish are shown by base rates described below. Not gigantic AUM creating a long runway before size hinders performance. Warren Buffett fee structure. To me the most rational fund manager I have ever encountered @sammutgabi (listen to Bilbel Capital podcasts on YT and tell me you disagree) was open for investors? Sounds like getting another shot to invest with a young Warren Buffett to me. @bilbelcapital
Tweedy, Browne looked at 1,000’s of stocks. Tracked over many, many years. After over 100,000 stocks, they found out that most top stocks shared at least one of these traits: -Low price compared to earnings. -Low price compared to book value. -Low price relative to cash flow.
A Buffett x Dimon interview on short termism that gets more and more relevant each day. Nick Sleep said “Only by looking further out than the short-term crowd can we expect to beat them.” Bill Miller called it time arbitrage Warren Buffett & Jamie Dimon 2018 Interview youtu.be/-yjHwQNm4jU?si… via @YouTube
@bilbelcapital writes maybe 2 or 3 times a year but its such a goldmine for ideas
Some good sources of stock ideas from @BullpenDotNews. Who else should be on this list?
Tweedy, Browne looked at 1,000’s of stocks. Tracked over many, many years. After over 100,000 stocks, they found out that most top stocks shared at least one of these traits: -Low price compared to earnings. -Low price compared to book value. -Low price relative to cash flow. -High dividend yields. -Lower current earnings compared to past levels (especially if priced below book value) -A stock price that has dropped a lot from previous highs. -Small size (market capitalization). -Company leaders or the company itself are buying more stock In many cases, the clues were there. Each of these traits was like a small piece of a puzzle. Good enough to give a sign, but not good enough to make a good decision. But, when put together, they showed a clear picture: An undervalued stock. Not so much because patterns repeat. But because the underlying causes have not changed.
92% gross CAGR since 2022 hedge fund manager explains his principles and mental models
@bilbelcapital podcast 6. We talk about edge, concentration, probability, permanent vs impermanent risks, and emotions. youtu.be/-J9z_feT3mc?si…
@bilbelcapital podcast 6. We talk about edge, concentration, probability, permanent vs impermanent risks, and emotions. youtu.be/-J9z_feT3mc?si…
A compounding Toll Bridge at a 7x multiple, 4% dividend yield, 31 year average concession life, 12% of shares bought back, 12% current authorization with secular trends. Founder CEO nobrainerinvestments.substack.com/p/a-compoundin…
Amos Tversky and Daniel Kahneman preached the base rate, essentially what the most likely outcome is statistically in what you are undertaking. Charlie Munger said fish where the fish are. Some of the smartest people ever agreeing on a mental model. The base rate for small stocks shows it is a great hunting ground
Marc Reinganum looked at all American stocks from 1963 to 1980. He grouped them from smallest to largest and tracked their returns. $1 million in the smallest companies in 1963, it would have grown to $46.28 million by 1980.
Marc Reinganum looked at all American stocks from 1963 to 1980. He grouped them from smallest to largest and tracked their returns. $1 million in the smallest companies in 1963, it would have grown to $46.28 million by 1980.
Bilbel Capital manages a Delaware-based fund structured under a 3(c)(1) exemption. Interested in our approach? Message us to arrange a call and explore whether there may be a fit. bilbelcapital.com #BilbelCapital #ValueInvesting
Since inception in 2022 through the reporting period covered by our latest investor letter, the strategy has generated a 1,748.3% gross return. The Fund is offered under Rule 506(c) to verified accredited investors.
We believe our portfolio is in its strongest position ever. Bilbel Capital is open to verified accredited investors until we reach our 100-investor limit. Our focus: deeply undervalued micro-cap public companies globally.
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