Abhisek Chaturvedi (FinSec) @FinSec_com
#Business #Trader, #Option Buyer, Sharing #trading/#Learning experience, Bullish on India's economy and #markets. long term investor. No tips free or paid. India Joined May 2011-
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#Nifty 23,091 Breaks below the recent low of 23,118. But daily-chart divergence is building, while 23,100 remains the key zone. 23,100 → 23,700+? 👀 Can we see this move before expiry? A dead-cat bounce / short-covering rally may be just around the corner. Need reclaim of 23,300–23,500 for confirmation.
📊 #Nifty | Big move still possible 23100 ❓ OR 23700+++ 🚀 Didn't happen today… but tomorrow/Friday could bring the 1–3% move. 🇺🇸 US markets & #GIFTNifty are weak, while #Bond #Yields remain elevated — but these levels look increasingly difficult to sustain. 🐂 I’m still
Two years of BIG underperformance. #Market sentiment remains extremely negative. A few months ago, we were seeing ads promoting SIPs & mutual funds. Now, the screens are filled with ads for FDs and fixed-income products. Something needs to change. Could the Government consider temporary tax relief on equity investing—perhaps lower STCG/LTCG rates—to support investor sentiment? #STT may be difficult to change, but #STCG/#LTCG could be considered. Not a bailout—just a policy signal to support long-term #equity participation.
@Equate_Nullify Hdfcbank... bullish view, now tracking its resistance zone of 757-773.
#Nifty 23,227 Almost at recent lows... Now watch 23,355–23,450 closely. 🔹 Sustained move above this range → sharp pullback / short-covering likely 🔹 Below recent lows → caution remains. For me, this is a zone to look for a long setup — with strict risk management.
📊 #Nifty | Big move still possible 23100 ❓ OR 23700+++ 🚀 Didn't happen today… but tomorrow/Friday could bring the 1–3% move. 🇺🇸 US markets & #GIFTNifty are weak, while #Bond #Yields remain elevated — but these levels look increasingly difficult to sustain. 🐂 I’m still
🌍 Global cues.........TDT-2 #Commodities under pressure as rising #Yields and a stronger #Dollar weigh on sentiment. 🥇 #Gold $4,320 (+0.06%) 🥈 #Silver $64.49 (-0.73%) 🔶 #Copper -0.50% 🛢️ #WTI $91.39 (-0.84%) #Bullion near important support levels. Recent market commentary also identifies ~$4,290–$4,300 in gold and ~$64.5 in silver as key near-term areas. 🇺🇸 US: Markets closed lower yesterday. #DowFut -0.16% #NasdaqFut -0.20% 🌏 Asia: Mostly lower, but downside remains limited. #Nikkei +1.33% — reopened after long weekend #Kospi — Holiday #Taiwan -0.32% #Shanghai -0.93% #HangSeng -0.61% #IDXComposite -0.64% #PSEiComposite -0.44% Overall: Sentiment remains negative, but markets are still near important support zones. 👉 Any meaningful softness in #Yields / #DXY / #CrudeOil could trigger sharp short-covering.
🌍 Global cues........TDT-1 #Geopolitical uncertainties continue. No major breakthrough from #UNGA so far. US–Iran positions remain firm, while mediation efforts continue around the Strait of #Hormuz. 🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russia–Ukraine: Some softer diplomatic signals. US has invited Putin to
🌍 Global cues........TDT-1 #geopolitical uncertainties continue. No major breakthrough from #UNGA so far. US–Iran positions remain firm, while mediation efforts continue around the Strait of #Hormuz. 🇷🇺🇺🇦 Russia–Ukraine: Some softer diplomatic signals. US has invited Putin to the December #G20 in Miami, potentially creating another channel for talks. ⚠️ Bond Yields: Still at multi-year highs — no relief yet. US #Treasury 30Y → 5.408% 10Y → 5.110% Rising yields remain a growing risk for the economy. 💵 Dollar: #DXY 100.82 — strengthening further 🇯🇵 #Yen: weekly low | #USDJPY 157.98 🛢️ #Crude: #Brent $102.13, steady. Overall: Sentiment remains fragile, but the impact on #financial #markets is still limited. 👉 There is a strong case for a TURNAROUND if #geopolitical tensions ease and #yields/#oil cool.
🪙 #Commodities | Setup getting interesting 🥇 #Gold: $4317 Near a strong support zone. A $200–$300 move could be setting up. 🎯 $4530++ next zone to watch. 🥈 #Silver: $65 Holding support; a sharp up-move could take it toward $72–80. 🔩 #Metals overall look stronger. 🐂 Watching for confirmation of the next upside move.
📊 #Nifty | Big move still possible 23100 ❓ OR 23700+++ 🚀 Didn't happen today… but tomorrow/Friday could bring the 1–3% move. 🇺🇸 US markets & #GIFTNifty are weak, while #Bond #Yields remain elevated — but these levels look increasingly difficult to sustain. 🐂 I’m still going with 23700+++ — ignoring the immediate noise. ➡️ Key trigger: 23500–23622. A decisive move above this zone could accelerate short-covering. #markets #index #peace #deal #Iranwar #Fed
🚨 War | The pressure is building Soon, the situation could become increasingly difficult to control. There may be no sustainable alternative to finding a path to end the war. 🇺🇸 The economic, political and geopolitical costs are rising — and the 2026 midterm elections will put the political consequences under the spotlight. ➡️ A diplomatic breakthrough is increasingly important. 30Y at 5.395 10Y at 5.121
🚨 US Bond Yields going crazy! Yields are approaching levels last seen around 2004–07. Bond-market stress continues. Despite #CrudeOil being down >10%, markets fear supply disruptions could keep prices higher for longer → inflation risk → potentially more #Fed tightening. #Brent $102.53 🇺🇸 The US still has an opportunity to work toward progress with Iran and Russia–Ukraine. ➡️ Expect a 1–3% move in indices either way. As usual, I remain a BULL. 🐂
#MarketAlert | Check out the #FundFlow activity for today👇 #FII #DII #StockMarketIndia #StockMarket #DalalStreet
🇮🇳 Rupee | RBI Outlook RBI DG Poonam Gupta: “Fair case for the rupee to not just stabilise, but even appreciate.” 🔹 #MPC meet in October 🔹 #Inflation is back, but still within RBI’s tolerance range. 🔹 #Fed / #BoJ rate hikes could strengthen the case for an RBI hike. ➡️ If RBI stays on hold, the Rupee could remain under pressure.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 US–Iran Talks | Mixed Signals 🇺🇸 Rubio: Meeting was positive, but not a breakthrough. 🇮🇷 Iran: Conditions for reviving diplomacy were clearly presented during the 2-hour talks. ➡️ Dialogue continues, but no concrete deal yet. #Crudeoil prices at day's high. #Brent didn't break $97 Now back to $103/bbl+++
🇺🇸 US markets lower #DowJones -0.27% #S&P500 -0.55% #Nasdaq -1.01% Trend remains clearly up — dips are likely to attract buying. #GiftNifty: -87 pts 🇮🇳 If today’s data improves into the close, the technical setup could strengthen further. 🎯 #Nifty: 23800–23980 remains the next zone to watch.
🇺🇸 US Yields spike after strong manufacturing data 📈 30Y: 5.370% (+1.26%) 📈 10Y: 5.068% (+2.43%) 💵 #DXY: 100.78 (+0.46%) — day’s high ➡️ Higher yields + stronger Dollar = near-term headwind for risk assets & bullion.
🇺🇸 US Manufacturing PMI — Sep Actual: 57.0 🔥 Previous: 53.9 Consensus: 53.6 ➡️ Strong beat — #manufacturing activity accelerated sharply. Market read: Positive for US growth, but potentially negative for #bonds/#risk assets if it keeps #yields and the #Dollar elevated.
🇺🇸🇮🇷 US–Iran | Negotiations Seems both sides continue to pressure each other for leverage in negotiations. The longer this drags on, the greater the economic cost for 🇮🇷 Iran — while 🇺🇸 the US could see higher defence demand from Middle East countries. ➡️ Pressure tactics on both sides; the cost of delay could keep rising.
🇮🇷 IRAN | UNGA President Pezeshkian: “We can’t allow free use of Hormuz while we are under sanctions.” ➡️ Hormuz access remains directly linked to sanctions relief.
🇮🇷 IRAN | UNGA President Pezeshkian: “We can’t allow free use of Hormuz while we are under sanctions.” ➡️ Hormuz access remains directly linked to sanctions relief.
🇮🇷 IRAN | UNGA President Pezeshkian: “Iran needs nuclear energy, not a nuclear bomb.” ➡️ Nuclear issue remains a key focus in US–Iran diplomacy.
🇮🇷 IRAN | UNGA President Pezeshkian: “Iran needs nuclear energy, not a nuclear bomb.” ➡️ Nuclear issue remains a key focus in US–Iran diplomacy.
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