Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

Storm Chaser Connor Croff |22|loves to get stuck in mud/ditches | Business Contact : [email protected] in tornado Joined March 2020

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Brady Harris @StormCat5_

18 hours ago

I think AI is on the verge of changing weather forecasting FOREVER. After watching its forecast for Hurricane Isaias, I just had to dig deeper. This is what I found⬇️ I think we could be entering a GOLDEN AGE of Weather youtube.com/watch?v=j2Qtq1…

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

a day ago

Just looked at the 12z HRRR

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

2 days ago

@Get_EMLd Ipava is painfully overhyped simply because so many people saw it. It was one of the most unmemorable tornadoes I’ve ever seen.

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

2 days ago

@NaderJuice62yd lmao feel that

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

2 days ago

Any tornado today would likely come from some sort of mesoscale accident from a storm interacting with the cold front. Otherwise the setup honestly looks awful. Cold front never stops slowly drifting south.

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

2 days ago

@NaderJuice62yd

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

2 days ago

@EricPessman No stream

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

2 days ago

@foirnado Honestly yes

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

2 days ago

Really like the look on models for an uptick in severe weather towards the end of the month.

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

4 days ago

In pursuit. Tornado threat moving into the Raleigh Durham metroplex by noon

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

5 days ago

@RCK_wx

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

6 days ago

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

6 days ago

Bad day to beach your vehicle. We are live from Navarre, beach FL! youtube.com/live/b1C8A91B9…

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

6 days ago

You can hate all you want lol. The NHC initial forecasts historically under do intensity forecasts. For the last few days using hurricane and AI models, category 3 has been squarely in get relm of possibility. Category 3 peak should not be a surprise. And it weakening to category 2 before landfall should not be surprising either. This has been explicitly forecasted by the highest performing models in the game. I am not trying to downplay by saying impacts won’t be significant, they will be. I simply stating that what Isaias is doing should not be surprising.

Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

6 days ago

Seeing lots of fear mongering happening this morning. Isaias is behaving exactly as forecast. It is peaking in intensity this morning as a cat 3 and will weaken in the few hours before landfall. Prepare for category 2 impacts. This has been forecasted the last few days. This is

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

6 days ago

@disturbingmario @PettusWX Still forecasted to be a high end cat1/low end cat 2 at landfall.

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

6 days ago

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

6 days ago

@disturbingmario Incorrect. Several hurricane model runs and the deep mind showered a high chance of category 3 even 2 days ago.

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Connor Croff @ChasingWConnor

6 days ago

@PettusWX Incorrect, hurricane modes have had runs peaking in the 950s for days. The deep mind has had high probabilities at Cat3 strength for the last few days. And it was forecasted to peak at 110mph 24 hours ago, 1mph off cat 3.