CapperCraig @CapperCraig
NFL/NBA gambling expert. Psychological background. 9+ years in the business. x.com/CapperCraigVIP United States of America Joined April 2019-
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I'll meet you there.🐻🐻🐻
@QuadBBets the Chicago "Ben Johnson" Bears
Thank you to all the new followers. I’ll be posting my NFL write-ups at these times this week: Sunday morning: 10 A.M. CST Sunday afternoon: 2 P.M. CST Sunday night: TBD, no play currently. Monday night: 5-6 P.M. CST Everything free this week. NFL Record: 17-5 💰
@KorumDan @25legbanger They are regarded as top 3 of the last 3 years for sure. The principle still stands.
NFL Week 5 Buccaneers @ Cowboys: Every single person knows that if the Cowboys truly tried on any given day to beat the Buccaneers, no line would be safe for anyone on the Bucs... So, I'd like to focus on the one singular situation that I can think of that would allow the Buccaneers to win/cover: The Cowboys let them. Does this game actually mean anything to the Cowboys? Obviously the more wins the better, but think of it like this: Week 1: Opening week with divisional rival Week 2: Bounce back mentality off a loss vs another division rival Week 3: Game in Brazil against the Ravens Week 4: Travel all the way back and play what is regarded as the #1 defense in their stadium. And now they are at home, which makes them more comfortable than being on the road. And now also against a team that looks lifeless. And next game? Back on the road against the Packers, who even though they are doing bad, are a team they surely want to beat. Do you see how the Cowboys could psychologically skip over this game? The Buccaneers certainly have nothing to lose, and the Cowboys could certainly be checked out mentally entering this game. Like I said, what does this game mean to the Cowboys? If they are a real team to be feared going into the playoffs, they win by 20+. Now when looking at the Buccaneers line history, the line vs the Vikings was actually pretty sharp if you take out a punt return touchdown. The line vs the Packers was +3.5 as well until it dropped to +2.5. Seems the books are close because they keep hanging bait lines. Now they won't give you 10 here without you paying big time for it. Now with the public all on the Cowboys, and not a soul knowing how the Buccaneers could do it, it is obvious to me that this is a game that looks like it is already decided who will cover. With how much backup quarterbacks have been winning, as well as how much the public has been losing, I recommend: Simply take the Cowboys NEXT WEEK before it gets bought up. Cowboys @ Packers. They Cowboys played them well last year despite being the worse team against a better version of the Packers. I took the Packers in that game and it was quite literally my only top pick out of my first 17 that lost... and it tied. Cowboys NEXT WEEK moneyline with the Jaguars moneyline THIS WEEK parlay for (+120) odds. You'll get the Cowboys in the best possible spot here vs the Packers in the absolute worst possible spot. The Cowboys with extra rest in a game they will be FOCUSED for vs the Packers after getting destroyed by the Bears this week. Also remember, Bears moneyline -120 moneyline was given out Sunday, but if you missed it, throw it in there too. For this game though, here are my leans: Buccaneers +9 George Pickens 1+ touchdown (+110) Cade Otten Over 4+ Receptions (+102) Cade Otten Over 30+ Receiving Yards (-114) 2 more huge plays coming out this week. 1 on Sunday, 1 on Monday. 2 already posted. NFL Record: 16-5
1-0 Buccaneers +10 official live play💰 Leans go 1-2. Needed 1 more catch from Cade Otton for 5 yards 🥲 Bears -120 Moneyline pending Jaguars ML+Cowboys NEXT WEEK MONEYLINE PARLAY pending 2 more plays coming out this week. NFL Record: 17-5
Beautiful reads all across the board. Just need 1 Cade Otton reception for 5 yards for a clean sweep.
@Elliot_YB @Ibleedcubsblue Cowboys flags came early. Bucs have so much momentum now that they couldn't lose if they tried
An unfocused Cowboys defense is the worst unit in the NFL. That's why we will be smashing them next week against the Packers, and already have.
@Ibleedcubsblue Yep. 5 plays in I knew what this was
@rrstable Yeah I have them winning their division, but this is a game that they can check out of mentally.
I’ll be putting all my thoughts out for tonight’s game around 5:30-6 CST. Not a pick, so if you have your side, don’t wait on me and lose potential CLV. I will however give you one for next week.
Had to get a mental reset after that Saints game. Like I said, just a terrible read overall. 2-2 this week. Panthers +4 paid play was huge for us. This week is all free. Panthers +4 💰 Browns +7.5/Bears ML Parlay +120💰 Cardinals -2.5 ❌ Saints ML ❌ NFL Record: 16-5
At least it wasn’t just the Cardinals 1st and goal at the 3 that broke it. Really like the 49ers this week. Great on the road ATS. Revenge from playoffs. Team looks hot, while the Seahawks haven’t looked the best. Bears and Jags freebies. Jets if you are brave.
Bad read. Haven't had one like this since Colts +3 in Week 1. 2-2 on the week. I'll bounce back. Bears ML (-120) posted yesterday. 2026 NFL Record: 16-5
NFL Week 4 Falcons @ Saints: Man that Falcons run defense is tough huh. Held the insane running back duo Jaylen Warren and Rico Dowdle to 58 rush yards in Week 1. Win or lose? Then the Panthers only put up 68 rushing yards on them Week 2... guess that means that the Panthers were trying to come back the whole game? And just held MarShawn Lloyd and the Packers to just 17 rushing yards. Wow. There is quite literally no other top 16 defense that could do that in the NFL to those teams. How about the Saints though? Week 1: Jahymr Gibbs after an offseason of preparation. Week 2: Derrick Henry and Lamar Jackson on the road. Week 3: Ashton Jeanty and Kubiak's team who are on fire. It's only right that Bijan fits right up in there. You'd think the Saints would just fall over against those teams, but: Week 1: Lost by 1 point + the referees collectively agreeing that Jared Goff wanted to throw the ball forward in his mind. Week 2: Beat the Ravens in their own stadium as a 7 point dog. Week 3: Up by 5 points, with the ball driving into the Raiders territory, and CHOKED. What would have been a field goal at the least, turned into a fumble + 13 unanswered Raiders points. By the way, 4 turnovers to 1, and lost by 1 score. (Not even including the 4th down loss, which makes it 5). Now the Saints find themselves in a double revenge, at home, in what is considered a special game. This is the 20 year anniversary for them, and it is going to be loud. Momentum will be easy to get for the Saints, and it will be hard to communicate for the Falcons when they have the ball. Those calls from their new offensive coordinator to Michael Penix might be a little hard to hear you think? How many penalties do you think are going to happen for the Falcons due to not being able to hear? I'd bet more than usual. Now there is some worry about the rest factor... BUT, it is not as big as you would think. The Falcons just went on the road to Wisconsin, and now have to take another road trip, while the Saints get to stay home off a loss they should have had as a win. The Saints will be focused. There is no overlooking this game, while the Falcons have done nothing to tell me they are a respectable team yet. That being said, everyone looks like they want to be sharp today, but we have been winning a little too much lately. Give me the better quarterback AND the better coach, at home, with the hunger to win. Saints Moneyline (-115) NFL Record: 16-4
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